nanoobot

Well I wont be, and just because one thing might be higher probability than another, doesn’t mean it’s the only thing worth worrying about.

That’s ridiculous, of course it counts as AI. It’s not conscious, and it’s not very intelligent, but it has some intelligence by any reasonable definition.

Sure, I’m not certain at all, maybe, but are you certain enough to bet your life on it?

I never said how long I expected it to take, how do you know we even disagree there? But like, is 50 years a long time to you? Personally anything less than 100 would be insanely quick. The key point is I don’t have a high certainty on my estimates. Sure, might be perfectly reasonable it takes more than 50, but what chance is there it’s even quicker? 0.01%? To me that’s a scary high number! Would you be happy having someone roll a dice with a 1 in 10000 chance of killing everyone? How low is enough?

It makes my blood boil when people dismiss the risks of ASI without any notable counterargument. Do you honestly think something a billion times smarter than a human would struggle to kill us all if it decided it wanted to? Why would it need a terminator to do it? A virus would be far easier. And who’s to say how quickly AI will advance now that AI is directly assisting progress? How can you possibly have any certainty on any timelines or risks at all?

Something you may not have considered is that the majority of our brains are used for things like sensory input and motor control, not for thinking. This is why brain size relative to body size is so important. A whale has a far larger brain than you or I, but is significantly less intelligent.

Why does an AI have to be sentient to be intelligent?

I think that might be a chatgpt specific thing, I tried with bing in precise mode and it responded with this:

“A sow is an adult female pig and piglets are baby pigs. Pigs have four feet, so a sow with six piglets would have a total of 28 feet (4 feet for the sow + 6 piglets * 4 feet each). Is that what you were asking?”

What ability do you think that they are currently missing that makes them ‘regurgitation machines’ rather than just limited and dumb but genuine early AI?