A solar storm forecast for Thursday is expected to give skygazers in 17 American states a chance to glimpse the Northern Lights, the colorful sky show that happens when solar wind hits the atmosphere.
How are they making predictions five days in advance when all the public info I’ve been able to obtain from NWS only goes out three days and is usually not very accurate?
Reality also seems to be pointing to “meh”. The current forecast shows a very slight rise in about 24 hours when the Kp index might get up to around 4. I don’t think that’s enough to make visible auroras even from Southern Canada, let alone reaching down into the US.
How are they making predictions five days in advance when all the public info I’ve been able to obtain from NWS only goes out three days and is usually not very accurate?
I’m also skeptical.
That article is dated yesterday as well, so an even earlier prediction.
I’ve checked https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/forecast-discussion and it looks to be saying it should remain relatively quiet into mid next week.
Maybe there will be something - but my usual sources are currently all pointing to “meh”
Reality also seems to be pointing to “meh”. The current forecast shows a very slight rise in about 24 hours when the Kp index might get up to around 4. I don’t think that’s enough to make visible auroras even from Southern Canada, let alone reaching down into the US.